Girls Basketball Class 1A Regional Projections Week 9
For my projections I am using the CHSAA Seeding and Selection Index. I am going to be predicting the District Champions and may just give a quick reason as to why I picked each District Champion. If you are a District Champion ranked in the top 16 of the Seeding Index, you will automatically host a regional. Remember to qualify for Regionals you must be ranked inside the top 32 or win your District. I pick the 8 teams I think reach the State Tournament based off the current projections at the end.
Updated 2/1 9am (When I pulled the Seeding Index)
Class 1A
- District must unanimously agree prior to the season on their own seeding criteria. If an agreement cannot be met, district Seeding will be done by the CHSAA Seeding & Selection Index (50% Maxpreps & 50% RPI). Maxpreps and RPI will run through Districts.
- District Winners (8) advancing to the 32-team state bracket. District Champions are guaranteed a top 8 (host slot) as long as they are in the top 16 of the CHSAA Seeding & Selection Index after Districts.
- Remaining 24 teams are filled in by the CHSAA Seeding & Selection Index published after Districts. Any team moved up to the 1-8 slots if a District winner is not in the top 16, will be true seeded 1-8.
- Seeding criteria for the 32-team state bracket-CHSAA Seeding & Selection Index published after Districts. Seed 9-16 are true seeded except to try and avoid league matchups in the FIRST ROUND ONLY. Teams may be moved one spot up or down. Teams 17-32 may be moved two spots based upon geography and league/district matchups.
- First two rounds of the state tournament (Regionals) will be hosted by the top seed in the quadrant of the bracket, over two days. (4-teams total)
- Teams will be reseeded prior to the final week-state championship (Final 8). The CHSAA Index published after Districts will be the only factor for State Seeding.
- Top 8 teams will advance. Class 1A Great 8 will play a Consolation Bracket.
District Tournament Winners
District 1 looks to be a two-horse race between De Beque and Dove Creek for the District Crown. I believe they have split the season series so far and will make for an exciting District Tournament. (I believe this District will be seeded by the Seeding Index, if I am wrong send me a message.)
District 2: McClave
District 2 is going to be a slugfest. 3 team currently sit inside the top 10 with 4 teams inside the top 16 and 6 teams inside the top 32. McClave seems to be the early favorite but look for Eads and Kit Carson to both challenge for the District Crown. (I believe this District will be seeded by the Seeding Index, if I am wrong send me a message.)
District 3: South Baca
South Baca takes over as my pick to win the District. Them and Springfield will have to battle again to determine the crown. Kim/Branson will also be in the mix as well. (I believe this District will be seeded by the Seeding Index, if I am wrong send me a message.)
District 4: Briggsdale
Briggsdale and Fleming remain the favorites to win the league, but Prairie is also in the mix sitting at #14 in the Seeding Index. Avoiding the tough Semifinal matchup could be key to winning the District Crown. (I believe this District will be seeded by the North Central League Standings, if I am wrong send me a message.)
District 5: Stratton
Another District that looks to be very tough. Currently 2 teams are inside the top 6 but 5 teams sit inside the top 20 with two others inside the top 26. Stratton appears to be the favorite to win the District Crown but Idalia, Arickaree, Flagler, and Hi-Plains will all challenge for that spot. (I believe this District will be seeded by the Seeding Index, if I am wrong send me a message.)
District 6: Sangre De Cristo
Sangre De Cristo is my team to beat. Creede appears to be the main challenger to Sangre De Cristo. District 6 could be a bit down this year and Sangre De Cristo will need to run the table to try and push for a regional host. Currently they would not be hosting at #19. (This District will be seeded by the Southern Peaks league Standings)
District 7: Kiowa
Kiowa picked up a few key wins last week to move to #11 and would host a regional if they win their district. District 7 has just 4 teams inside the top 32 currently. I think Genoa-Hugo and Hanover could challenge for the district crown. (I believe this District will be seeded by the Seeding Index, if I am wrong send me a message.)
District 8: Flatirons Academy
Flatirons Academy appears to be the favorite yet again in District 8. Rocky Mountain Lutheran appears to be the main challenger. Currently just 3 teams sit inside the top 32 of the 5280 League. (I believe this District will be seeded by the 5280 League Standings, if I am wrong send me a message.)
District Champions and Regional Hosts: ()=Seeding Index
District 1: Dove Creek (8)
District 2: McClave (3)
District 3: South Baca (12)
District 4: Briggsdale (4)
District 5: Stratton (2)
District 6: Sangre De Cristo (19) (Will Not Host)
District 7: Kiowa (11)
District 8: Flatirons Academy (1)
At Large Host: Kit Carson (5)
First Four Out
Creede (33), Caprock Academy (34), Front Range Baptist (35), Wiley (36)
Bracket- District matchups will be avoided in the first round. 8 Regional winners qualifying for state. State will be re-seeded! And play a consolation bracket!
| Region 1 |
| *#1 Flatirons Academy vs #32 Pikes Peak Christian |
| #16 Cheyenne Wells vs #17 Hi-Plains |
| Region 2 |
| *#8 South Baca vs #25 Genoa-Hugo |
| #9 Idalia vs #24 Flagler |
| Region 3 |
| *#5 Kit Carson vs #28 Otis |
| #12 Rocky Mountain Lutheran vs #21 Cheraw |
| Region 4 |
| *#4 Briggsdale vs #29 Kim/Branson |
| #13 Mile High Academy vs #20 De Beque |
| Region 5 |
| *#2 Stratton vs #31 Deer Trail |
| #15 Arickaree vs #18 Springfield |
| Region 6 |
| *#7 Kiowa vs #26 Hanover |
| #10 Eads vs #23 Nucla |
| Region 7 |
| *#6 Dove Creek vs #27 Lone Star |
| #11 Fleming vs #22 Granada |
| Region 8 |
| *#3 McClave vs #30 La Veta |
| #14 Prairie vs #19 Sangre De Cristo |
*= Regional Host
Note: 17-32 can be moved max of two spots for geography or District/league matchups. I tried to avoid the league matchups but did minimal movement for Geography.
My State Qualifier Picks
Here are the 8 teams I think will make it to the Elite 8. I am not posting matchups due to state being reseeded. Remember this is just my opinion and I have been wrong multiple times.
#1 Flatirons Academy
#2 Idalia
#3 Kit Carson
#4 Briggsdale
#5 Stratton
#6 Eads
#7 Dove Creek
#8 McClave
MileHigh Prep Report 