Boys Basketball Class 3A State Tournament Projections/Predictions
Class 3A is straight forward. League Champions and Runner ups get Automatic Berths and the rest is selected by RPI. We will lay out the Regional Projections and Pick the 8 teams we think will get to the Elite 8 played at DU. Remember League Champions host only if you’re in the top 16 of the RPI.
With no Regional Tournament for Class 3A the teams are fighting for a Top 32 RPI or as stated below.
- Seven District, each qualifying two teams to the state bracket, with the remaining 18 teams determined by RPI.
- The qualifier advance to a 32-team regional/state bracket where the district champions if ranked in the Top 16 of the RPI plus the next highest RPI finisher will host regions.
- The seven district champions, if ranked in the Top 16 of RPI and the 1st highest RPI qualifier will be placed on the bracket in order of 1-8. A district champion not ranked in the Top 16 of the final RPI will be placed on the bracket but, will not be a top 8 seed and will not host a region. (If a district champion is not in the Top 16 RPI, then the next highest remaining RPI will host). The committee may use the following criteria to seed the final pairing: Final RPI rankings, previous district match-ups, head to head competition, and common opponents.
- Seeds 25-32 may be moved to accommodate geographical considerations.
- The bracket will not be re-seeded going into the state tournament.
- The state tournament shall feature a modified consolation bracket. Teams losing on Thursday will not advance to Friday.
Confluence League: DSST-Byers (9)
The Semifinals feature DSST-Byers vs DSST-Green Valley and Fort Lupton vs Riverdale Ridge. DSST-Byers is the favorite to win the League but I think will be challenged in both the Semifinals and the Finals. I am picking DSST-Byers and Fort Lupton to get to the finals and get the automatic berth. I am picking DSST-Byers to win the league.
Frontier: DSST-Montview (16)
The Semifinals feature DSST-Montview vs Academy and Middle Park vs Lake County. DSST-Montview is the favorite to win the Frontier league and have the best shot at hosting if they can stay in the top 16. DSST-Montview is currently #16 in the RPI and would host. I am going DSST-Montview and Middle Park to get to the finals with DSST-Montview winning the Frontier League.
Intermountain: Alamosa (7)
The Semifinals feature Alamosa vs Pagosa Springs and Centauri vs Bayfield. Alamosa and Centauri are both in the top 16 right now so more than likely the IML will have someone host if Alamosa and Centauri reach the championship. I am going with Alamosa vs Centauri in the IML championship and going with Alamosa over Centauri to win the Intermountain League.
Metro: Lutheran (3)
The Semifinals feature Lutheran vs Colorado Academy and Faith Christian vs Manual. Both games should be very competitive. Lutheran, Faith Christian, and Manual are all in the top 16 and if any of them win they will host. I am going with Lutheran and Faith Christian to meet up in the Metro League Finals with Lutheran winning the Metro League.
Patriot: Resurrection Christian (1)
The Patriot League will be decided Tonight 2/27. The Championship features Resurrection Christian vs Sterling. Both are in the top 16 and the winner will host. The Metro League and the Patriot League have a good shot at getting another team to host. I am picking Resurrection Christian over Sterling in the Championship.
Tri Peaks: Vanguard (4)
The Semifinals feature Manitou Springs vs C.S Christian and Vanguard vs St. Mary’s. Both games should be competitive. Vanguard and Manitou Springs are both in the top 16 so if one of them win then they will host a region. I am picking Manitou Springs over C.S Christina and Vanguard of St. Mary’s. I am picking Vanguard over Manitou Springs to win the Tri-Peaks league.
Western Slope: Gunnison (14)
3 of the 4 games in the quarterfinals resulted in upsets in the Western Slope League. The semifinals feature Gunnison vs Delta and Roaring Fork vs Aspen. Looking at the top 32 in general Delta and Roaring Fork currently sit outside the top 32 and are hoping for the upset to get in. Aspen is sitting at 30 and on the bubble. Gunnison is the lone team sitting in the top 16. I am picking Gunnison and Aspen to win the semifinal games. I am picking Gunnison over Aspen to win the Western Slope League.
Will Host but not League Champions: Faith Christian (2)
Fort Lupton (19), Middle Park (23), Centauri (6), Faith Christian (2), Sterling (5), Manitou Springs (8), Aspen (30)
At Large Teams
Eaton, University, St. Mary’s, Manual, Coal Ridge, Englewood, DSST-Green Valley Ranch, Jefferson Academy, Machebeuf, Lamar, Kent Denver, Pagosa Springs, Colorado Academy, Strasburg, Ridgeview Academy, C.S Christian, Aspen, Atlas Prep, Grand Valley
First Four Out
Salida, Riverdale Ridge, Montezuma-Cortez, The Academy
Top 8 seeds:
#1 Resurrection Christian
#3 Faith Christian
Bracket: District Matchups will be avoided in first round and 24-32 can be moved due to geography. I will not move teams due to geography this week and will look more into that next week. Also, no consolation bracket will be played only Championship and 3rd place game. The Bracket will not be reseeded after the first two rounds.
|*#1 Resurrection Christian vs #32 Grand Valley|
|#16 Coal Ridge vs #17 Englewood|
|*#8 DSST-Montview vs #25 Pagosa Springs|
|#9 Sterling vs #24 Kent Denver|
|*#5 Alamosa vs #28 Ridgeview Academy|
|#12 Eaton vs #21 Machebeuf|
|*#4 Vanguard vs #29 C.S Christian|
|#13 University vs #20 Jefferson Academy|
|*#2 Lutheran vs #31 Atlas Prep|
|#15 Manual vs #18 DSST-Green Valley|
|*#7 Gunnison vs #26 Colorado Academy|
|#10 Centauri vs #23 Lamar|
|*#6 DSST-Byers vs #27 Strasburg|
|#11 Manitou Springs vs #22 Middle Park|
|*#3 Faith Christian vs #30 Aspen|
|#14 St. Mary’s vs #19 Fort Lupton|
*= Regional Host
Elite 8 Teams, Games Played at DU
I am picking the 8 teams I think will get to the Final 8 played at DU. I will seed by the given rules next week.
#1 Resurrection Christian vs #9 Sterling
#4 Vanguard vs #5 Alamosa
#2 Lutheran vs #10 Centauri
#3 Faith Christian vs #6 DSST-Byers