Girls Basketball Class 3A Playoff Projections

 

With the basketball season quickly winding down it’s time to switch over to Projections instead of if the playoffs started today.  In Class 3A the 1^st and 2^nd place teams from each league automatically qualify and the League Champion hosts only if they are in the Top 16 of the RPI.  For my projections I will use the current league standings plus some projections.  The RPI will be used to predict the rest of the field of course because it’s way to hard to predict what the RPI will do.  Also teams that are sitting outside the Top 45 are probably all but eliminated from making the Post-Season tournament without an automatic berth.

Class 3A

The playoff format for 3A goes as follows; Districts Determine own seeding Criteria for the district tournament, Seven Districts each qualify two teams to the state brackets, with the remaining 18 teams determined by RPI, Qualifiers advance to a 32 teams regional/state brackets where the districts champions plus the next highest RPI finisher will host the regions, Seven District Champions and the 1^st highest RPI qualifier will be placed on bracket in order 1-8 and will host the first round and sweet 16 games; seeds 9-32 will be placed on bracket in RPI, avoiding league/district opponents in the first round when possible, Seeds 24-32 may be moved to accommodate geographical considerations.  District Champions must finish in the Top 16 to host in the first and second round.

League Champions

Confluence League: Weld Central (32) (will not host)

Frontier: Bennett (38) (Will Not host)

Intermountain: Centauri (3)

Metro: Kent Denver (2)

Patriot: Resurrection Christian (9)

Tri Peaks: St. Mary’s (1)

Western Slope: Moffat County (12)

Will Host regional: Pagosa Springs (4), Colorado Springs Christian (5), Cedaredge (6)

Automatic Qualifier

Eagle Ridge Academy, The Academy, Pagosa Springs, Colorado Academy, Eaton, Colorado Springs Christian, Cedaredge

At Large Teams

Lamar, Jefferson Academy, Sterling, Delta, Grand Valley, Manitou Springs, Vanguard, Salida, St. Mary’s Academy, Lutheran, Liberty Common, Brush, Coal Ridge, Faith Christian, Roaring Fork, University, Alamosa, Stargate School

First Four Out

Machebeuf, SkyView Academy, Buena Vista, Strasburg

Top 8 seeds based on my Predictions and RPI:

#1 St. Mary’s

#2 Kent Denver

#3 Centauri

#4 Pagosa Springs

#5 Colorado Springs Christian

#6 Cedaredge

#7 Resurrection Christian

#8 Moffat County

Remaining Seeds Based upon RPI:
9 Eaton, 10 Lamar, 11 Jefferson Academy, 12 Sterling, 13 Colorado Academy, 14 Delta, 15 Grand Valley, 16 Manitou Springs, 17 Vanguard, 18 Salida, 19 St. Mary’s Academy, 21 Lutheran, 20 Liberty Common, 22 Brush, 23 Coal Ridge, 25 Faith Christian, 24 Roaring Fork, 27 University, 26 Alamosa, 28 Stargate School, 29 Weld Central, 30 The Academy, 31 Bennett, 32 Eagle Ridge

Bracket: District Matchups will be avoided in first round and 24-32 can be moved due to geography.  I will not move teams due to geography this week and will look more into that next week. Also no consolation bracket will be played only Championship and 3^rd place game.

Bracket

*#1 St. Mary’s vs #32 Eagle Ridge Academy

#16 Manitou Springs vs #17 Vanguard

*#8 Moffat County vs #25 Faith Christian

#9 Eaton vs #24 Roaring Fork

*#5 Colorado Springs Christian vs #28 Stargate School

#12 Sterling vs #21 Lutheran

*#4 Pagosa Springs vs #29 Weld Central

#13 Colorado Academy vs #20 Liberty Common

*#2 Kent Denver vs #31 Bennett

#15 Grand Valley vs #18 Salida

*#7 Resurrection Christian vs #26 Alamosa

#10 Lamar vs #23 Coal Ridge

*#6 Cedaredge vs #27 University

#11 Jefferson Academy vs #22 Brush

*#3 Centauri vs #30 The Academy

#14 Delta vs #19 St. Mary’s Academy

*= Regional Host