Boys and Girls Basketball Top Ten and Key Game Predictions

Friday Regional Projections Update Girls Basketball Class 3A thru 1A

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Picture by: Creations by KC (Fleming vs Stratton/Liberty)

Friday Regional Projections Update Girls Basketball Class 3A thru 1A

Class 3A

The playoff format for 3A goes as follows; Districts Determine own seeding Criteria for the district tournament, Seven Districts each qualify two teams to the state brackets, with the remaining 18 teams determined by RPI, Qualifiers advance to a 32 teams regional/state brackets where the districts champions plus the next highest RPI finisher will host the regions, Seven District Champions and the 1st highest RPI qualifier will be placed on bracket in order 1-8 and will host the first round and sweet 16 games; seeds 9-32 will be placed on bracket in RPI, avoiding league/district opponents in the first round when possible, Seeds 24-32 may be moved to accommodate geographical considerations.  District Champions must finish in the Top 16 to host in the first and second round.

League Champions ()=RPI

Confluence League: Weld Central (30) (will not host)

Frontier: Middle Park (32) (will not host)

Intermountain: Centauri (3)

Metro: Lutheran (7)

Patriot: Sterling (9)

Tri Peaks: St. Mary’s (1)

Western Slope: Moffat County (16)

Will Host regional: Kent Denver (2), Pagosa Springs (4), Cedaredge (5)

Automatic Qualifier

Eagle Ridge Academy (29), The Academy (26), Pagosa Springs (4), Kent Denver (2), Eaton (10), Colorado Springs Christian (6), Grand Valley (17)

At Large Teams

Cedaredge, Lamar, Manitou Springs, Jefferson Academy, Colorado Academy, Resurrection Christian, Delta, Faith Christian, St. Mary’s Academy, Salida, Vanguard, University, Alamosa, Machebeuf, Brush, Stargate School, Florence, Roaring Fork

First Four Out

Liberty Common, Olathe, SkyView Academy, Gunnison

Top 8 seeds based on my Predictions and RPI:

#1 St. Mary’s

#2 Kent Denver

#3 Centauri

#4 Pagosa Springs

#5 Cedaredge

#6 Lutheran

#7 Sterling

#8 Moffat County

Remaining Seeds Based upon RPI:
9 Colorado Springs Christian, 10 Lamar, 11 Eaton, 12 Manitou Springs, 13 Jefferson Academy, 14 Colorado Academy, 15 Resurrection Christian, 16 Delta, 17 Faith Christian, 18 St. Mary’s Academy, 19 Grand Valley, 20 Salida, 21 University, 22 Vanguard, 23 Alamosa, 24 Machebeuf, 25 Brush, 26 The Academy, 27 Stargate School, 28 Florence, 29 Roaring Fork, 30 Weld Central, 31 Middle Park, 32 Eagle Ridge

Bracket: District Matchups will be avoided in first round and 24-32 can be moved due to geography.  I will not move teams due to geography this week and will look more into that next week. Also no consolation bracket will be played only Championship and 3rd place game.

Bracket

*#1 St. Mary’s vs #32 Eagle Ridge Academy

#16 Delta vs #17 Faith Christian

*#8 Moffat County vs #25 Brush

#9 Colorado Springs Christian vs #24 Machebeuf

*#5 Cedaredge vs #28 Florence

#12 Manitou Springs vs #21 University

*#4 Pagosa Springs vs #29 Roaring Fork

#13 Jefferson Academy vs #20 Salida

*#2 Kent Denver vs #31 Middle Park

#15 Resurrection Christian vs #18 St. Mary’s Academy

*#7 Sterling vs #26 The Academy

#10 Lamar vs #23 Alamosa

*#6 Lutheran vs #27 Stargate school

#11 Eaton vs #22 Vanguard

*#3 Centauri vs #30 Weld Central

#14 Colorado Academy vs #19 Grand Valley

*= Regional Host

Final 8 Predictions (Based on Bracket and Observations)

Of Course, this could change based on who actually plays each other and how the bracket lines up.  This is just a prediction for this week based on what I have in the Projections.

#1 St. Mary’s vs #9 Colorado Springs Christian

#4 Pagosa Springs vs #12 Manitou Springs

#2 Kent Denver vs #10 Lamar

#3 Centauri vs #6 Lutheran

Class 2A

District Champions shall be seeded 1-8 based on RPI and shall host the regional Tournaments

The remainder of the teams shall be seeded 9-32 by RPI, avoiding first round district matchups
RPI seeds 25-32 may be moved to accommodate geography if it benefits the entire bracket

8 regional winners shall be re-seeded and play a consolation bracket

District Qualifiers ()=RPI

District 1: Del Norte (11), Sanford (26), Sargent (34), Custer County (30)

District 2: Yuma (1), Wray (10), Holyoke (4), Haxtun (18)

District 3: Ignacio (27), Dolores (44), Norwood (56)

District 4: Limon (6), Denver Christian (2), Burlington (16), Byers (38)

District 5: Meeker (5), Soroco (12), Rangely (8), Vail Christian (21), Paonia (24)

District 6: Swink (7), Fowler (15), Las Animas (36), Hoehne (43)

District 7: Highland (13), Clear Creek (14), Lyons (25), Dayspring Christian (22)

District 8: Simla (3), Ellicott (19), Calhan (9), Colorado Springs School (17)

District Champions and Regional Hosts ()=Seed:

District 1: Del Norte (6)

District 2: Yuma (1)

District 3: Ignacio (8)

District 4: Limon (4)

District 5: Meeker (3)

District 6: Swink (5)

District 7: Highland (7)

District 8: Simla (2)

Bracket- District matchups will be avoided in the first round.  8 Regional winners qualifying for state.  State will be re-seeded! And play a consolation bracket!

Region 1
*#1 Yuma vs #32 Norwood
#16 Fowler vs #17 Burlington

 

Region 2
*#8 Ignacio vs #25 Lyons
#9 Denver Christian vs #24 Sanford

 

Region 3
*#5 Swink vs #28 Sargent
#12 Calhan vs #21 Vail Christian

 

Region 4
*#4 Limon vs #29 Hoehne
#13 Wray vs #20 Ellicott

 

Region 5
*#2 Simla vs #31 Dolores
#15 Clear Creek vs #18 Colorado Springs School

 

Region 6
*#7 Highland vs #26 Custer County
#10 Holyoke vs #23 Paonia

 

Region 7
*#6 Del Norte vs #27 Las Animas
#11 Rangely vs #22 Dayspring Christian

 

Region 8
*#3 Meeker vs #30 Byers
#14 Soroco vs #19 Haxtun

 

*= Regional Host

Elite 8 Picks (Picking off my Projected Regions)

Also remember that the final 8 teams will reseeded and play a consolation bracket.  I am just picking my final 8 teams in order by region.

Yuma

Denver Christian

Swink

Wray

Simla

Holyoke

Del Norte

Meeker

Class 1A Girls Basketball Playoff Projections

Eight Districts, each qualifying two or three (as noted) to three regionals

The #1 and #2 seeds from District 1 and 8 will be paired in 2017-2018 while the #1, #2, and #3 seeds from District 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 will advance to a regional site.  Region 2 (4, 5, 7) and Region 3 (2, 3, 6), the nine qualifying teams will be seeded by RPI, avoiding any previous district match-ups.  In Region 1 District 1 and 8 #1s will play the other District #2s.  Region 1 receives 2 state qualifiers, Region 2 and 3 receive three state qualifiers each.

School Year Region 1 Region 2 Region 3
2017-2018 1, 8 4, 5, 7 2, 3, 6
2018-2019 1, 7 4, 5, 8 2, 3, 6
2019-2020 1, 6 4, 5, 8 2, 3, 7

 

Each Region shall jointly determine it regional playoff site.

8 regional winners advance to the state tournament where they will be seeded by RPI, avoiding any previous regional or district matchup, if possible.

Class 1A great 8 will play a consolation bracket

Region 1

District 1 Qualifiers: North Park, Dove Creek

District 8 Qualifiers: Cornerstone Christian, Belleview Christian

#1 Front Range Baptist vs #2 De Beque

#1 North Park vs #2 Cornerstone Christian

Region 2 ()=RPI

District 4 Qualifiers: Fleming (5), Briggsdale (3), Heritage Christian (9)

District 5 Qualifiers: Arickaree/Woodlin (15), Idalia (25), Flagler/Hi Plains (28)

District 7 Qualifiers: Genoa-Hugo (26), Kiowa (29), Edison (37)

#1 Briggsdale vs (winner of #6 vs #7)

#6 Genoa-Hugo vs #7 Flagler/Hi Plains

#2 Fleming vs (winner of #5 vs #8)

#5 Idalia vs #8 Kiowa

#3 Heritage Christian vs (winner of #4 vs #9)

#4 Arickaree/Woodlin vs #9 Edison

Region 3

District 2: Kit Carson (1), Eads (11), McClave (7)

District 3: Kim/Branson (2), Holly (4), Springfield (10)

District 6: Antonito (8), Sangre De Cristo (6), Sierra Grande (13

#1 Kit Carson vs (Winner of #6 vs #7)

#6 Antonito vs #7 Springfield

#2 Kim/Branson vs (Winner of #5 vs #8)

#5 McClave vs #8 Sierra Grande

#3 Holly vs (Winner of #4 vs #9)

#4 Sangre De Cristo vs #9 Eads

Elite 8 Picks based off my Projections, this will be seeded once the 8 teams are selected and a consolation bracket will be played.  I am just picking the 8 teams in order by region.

Cornerstone Christian

North park

Fleming

Briggsdale

Heritage Christian

Kit Carson

Kim/Branson

Sangre De Cristo