Girls Basketball Class 3A Playoff Projections

49848327_2152064831773269_5814691922651906048_n — Picture by Vibrant Valley Photography (Alamosa vs Monte Vista)

Girls Basketball Class 3A Playoff Projections

With the basketball season quickly winding down it’s time to switch over to Projections instead of if the playoffs started today. In Class 3A the 1^st and 2^nd place teams from each league automatically qualify and the League Champion hosts only if they are in the Top 16 of the RPI. For my projections I will use the current league standings plus some projections. The RPI will be used to predict the rest of the field of course because it’s way to hard to predict what the RPI will do.

Class 3A

With no Regional Tournament for Class 3A the teams are fighting for a Top 32 RPI or as stated below.

Seven District, each qualifying two teams to the state bracket, with the remaining 18 teams determined by RPI.
The qualifier advance to a 32-team regional/state bracket where the district champions if ranked in the Top 16 of the RPI plus the next highest RPI finisher will host regions.
The seven district champions, if ranked in the Top 16 of RPI and the 1^st highest RPI qualifier will be placed on the bracket in order of 1-8. A district champion not ranked in the Top 16 of the final RPI will be placed on the bracket but, will not be a top 8 seed and will not host a region. (If a district champion is not in the Top 16 RPI, then the next highest remaining RPI will host). The committee may use the following criteria to seed the final pairing: Final RPI rankings, previous district match-ups, head to head competition, and common opponents.
Seeds 25-32 may be moved to accommodate geographical considerations.
The bracket will not be re-seeded going into the state tournament.
The state tournament shall feature a modified consolation bracket. Teams losing on Thursday will not advance to Friday.

League Champions

Confluence League: Riverdale Ridge (25) (Will not host)

Frontier: The Academy (7)

Intermountain: Pagosa Springs (1)

Metro: SkyView Academy (9)

Patriot: Eaton (5)

Tri Peaks: St. Mary’s (4)

Western Slope: Delta (2)

Will Host regional: Colorado Springs Christian (3), Centauri (6)

Automatic Qualifier

Englewood, Middle Park, Centauri, Faith Christian, Platte Valley, Colorado Springs Christian, Moffat County

At Large Teams

Grand Valley, Cedaredge, Vanguard, Alamosa, Lutheran, Roaring Fork, Resurrection Christian, Manitou Springs, Kent Denver, Middle park, University, Salida, Estes Park, Moffat County, Faith Christian, Lamar, Coal Ridge, Prospect Ridge, Trinidad, Liberty Common, Strasburg, Lake County

First Four Out

Peak to Peak, Colorado Academy, Strive Prep, Brush

Top 8 seeds based on my Predictions and RPI:

#1 Pagosa Springs

#2 Delta

#3 Colorado Springs Christian

#4 St. Mary’s

#5 Eaton

#6 Centauri

#7 The Academy

#8 SkyView Academy

Remaining Seeds Based upon RPI:
#9 Grand Valley, #10 Cedaredge, #11 Platte Valley, #12 Vanguard, #13 Alamosa, #14 Lutheran, #15 Roaring Fork, #16 Resurrection Christian #17 Manitou Springs, #18 Kent Denver, #19 Middle Park, #20 University, #22 Salida, #21 Estes Park, #23 Moffat County, #24 Faith Christian, #25 Riverdale Ridge, #26 Lamar, #27 Coal Ridge, #28 Prospect Ridge, #31 Trinidad, #29 Liberty Common, #30 Strasburg, #32 Lake County

Bracket: District Matchups will be avoided in first round and 24-32 can be moved due to geography. I will not move teams due to geography this week and will look more into that next week. Also no consolation bracket will be played only Championship and 3^rd place game.

Bracket

*#1 Pagosa Springs vs #32 Lake County

#16 Resurrection Christian vs #17 Manitou Springs

*#8 SkyView Academy vs #25 Riverdale Ridge

#9 Grand Valley vs #24 Faith Christian

*#5 Eaton vs #28 Prospect Ridge

#12 Vanguard vs #21 Estes Park

*#4 St. Mary’s vs #29 Liberty Common

#13 Alamosa vs #20 University

*#2 Delta vs #31 Trinidad

#15 Roaring Fork vs #18 Kent Denver

*#7 The Academy vs #26 Lamar