1A League Breakdown

Class 1A Football Playoff Projections & Predictions Week 10

Class 1A Football Playoff Projections & Predictions Week 10

This year to reach the playoffs is simple.  Either win your league title or be inside the top 16 of the CHSAA Seeding Index.  After they select the 16 teams that make the playoffs, they use the CHSAA Seeding Index to seed the playoffs.  This week I will be giving my predictions on who makes the playoffs, but I will also look at if the season ended today who would make the playoffs at the end.  Good Luck to all teams.

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Class 1A Playoff Predictions (Who I think make the playoffs)

This is who I think make the playoffs and who win the leagues.  In Class 1A all-league champions are guaranteed a berth.  The rest will be selected by CHSAA Seeding Index.  Seeding is determined by CHSAA Seeding Index.  I am picking my 10 At-Large teams via non-league schedules, remaining schedules, and how I think teams will do.  League Champions are posted first then the At-Large Teams.

https://chsaanow.com/sports/2022/7/20/chsaa-postseason-seeding-index.aspx

League Champion Predictions

Frontier: Strasburg

The Frontier League Title will be decided this week when Strasburg travels to face Platte Canyon.

Longs Peak: Highland

Highland will face Manual for the league title this week.  A Highland win and Highland wins the league title outright.  If Manual wins then it’s a 3-way tie for the league title between Highland, Flatirons Academy, and Manual.  I am not sure of the tiebreaker for the league.  Only the league champion will get in from this league!

North Central: Limon

Limon is your North Central League Champion.  They clinched it last week with a win over Wiggins. 

South Central: Centauri

The South Central League Title will be decided this week when Centauri hosts Monte Vista. 

Tri-Peaks: Banning Lewis

Banning Lewis is your Tri-Peaks League Champion

Western Slope: Gunnison

One game this week inside the league could determine a lot.  If Buena Vista beats Cedaredge, then it will create a three-way tie for First Place, between Meeker, Buena Vista and Gunnison.  Point differential is the tie breaker between the teams tied.  If Buena Vista loses to Cedaredge, then Gunnison is your league champion.  Gunnison has the head-to-head win over Meeker.

At Large Teams

Holyoke (North Central)

Wray (North Central)

Wiggins (North Central)

Yuma (North Central)

Monte Vista (South Central)

C.S Christian (Tri-Peaks)

Buena Vista (Western Slope)

North Fork (Western Slope)

Gunnison (Western Slope)

Platte Canyon (Frontier)

Playoff Hunt for Final Spots

Cedaredge & Rye

We have narrowed the playoff field in Class 1A down to just a few teams.  Platte Canyon, Cedaredge, Yuma, Monte Vista, and Rye.  3 of the 5 teams will get into the playoffs with the other two on the outside looking in.  Remember that the winner of the Longs Peak League will take the #16 spot.  Rye, I think has the worst shot of getting into the playoffs.  They are to far back but if things fell just right they could possibly sneak in.  Yuma, Platte Canyon, Cedaredge, and Monte Vista on the other hand is going to come down to the wire.  Platte Canyon, I believe is in good shape even with a loss to Strasburg.  Platte Canyon RPI will only drop a bit, but the main question mark is do they fall in the Maxpreps rankings if they lose.  Cedaredge is in the most danger of the remaining 4.  A loss to Buena Vista will see their RPI drop and push them #17 if not #18.  If they stay at #14 in the Maxpreps poll but drop to #17 in RPI I don’t think they get in.  Yuma if they lose to Limon could see their RPI remain the same if not improve a slight amount. Monte Vista with a loss to Centauri will see their RPI also stay around the same.  Of course, if Cedaredge, Monte Vista, Yuma, or Platte Canyon win it changes everything.  Monte Vista and Platte Canyon with wins would get the league title and automatically get in.  With all that said I think Cedaredge will miss the playoffs with a loss to Buena Vista or it will be very close between Cedaredge, Yuma, Platte Canyon, and Monte Vista.

Seeded Playoff Bracket using my Predictions, Seeding Rules, & CHSAA Seeding Index

#1 Limon vs #16 Highland

#8 Wray vs #9 North Fork

#4 Meeker vs #13 Yuma

#5 Buena Vista vs #12 C.S Christian

#2 Holyoke vs #15 Platte Canyon

#7 Strasburg vs #10 Wiggins

#3 Gunnison vs #14 Monte Vista

#6 Banning Lewis vs #11 Centauri

Note: Strasburg I moved up to #7 I think their win over Platte Canyon will boost them.  Wiggins vs Wray I am picking Wray to win and that will move Wray at least to #8 if not jump to #7.  I also think Platte Canyon gets in but I could see them swapping Monte Vista and Platte Canyon for distance. 

Class 1A Playoff Projections (IF the Season Ended Today)

This is if the season ended today 10/25/2023.  Using the CHSAA Seeding Index I will come up with the Playoff field.  League Champions selected with my Predictions.  I will seed & select the bracket with the CHSAA Seeding Index.  Remember this is still early and things will change.  The league champions I selected are at the top with the at-large berths following.

https://chsaanow.com/sports/2022/7/20/chsaa-postseason-seeding-index.aspx

League Champion Predictions ()=CHSAA Seeding Index

(Not in Order)

Frontier: Strasburg (8)

Longs Peak: Highland (17)

North Central: Limon (1)

South Central: Centauri (11)

Tri-Peaks: Banning Lewis (6)

Western Slope: Gunnison (3)

At Large Teams (Selected using 10/25 Seeding Index)

(Not in Order)

#7 Holyoke (2)

#8 Meeker (4)

#9 Buena Vista (5)

#10 Wiggins (7)

#11 Wray (9)

#12 North Fork (10)

#13 C.S Christian (12)

#14 Platte Canyon (13)

#15 Cedaredge (14)

#16 Yuma (15)

First Four Out

Monte Vista (16), Rye (18), Burlington (19), Manual (20)

Playoff Bracket Seeded using Seeding Index

#1 Limon vs #16 Highland

#8 Wiggins vs #9 North Fork

#4 Meeker vs #13 Platte Canyon

#5 Buena Vista vs #12 C.S Christian

#2 Holyoke vs #15 Cedaredge

#7 Strasburg vs #10 Wray

#3 Gunnison vs #14 Yuma

#6 Banning Lewis vs #11 Centauri

Note: We swapped Strasburg and Wiggins due to the head-to-head win.  If that does happen, then Wray will swap with North Fork at #9 and #10.  Of course, this is if the season ended today so the Wiggins vs Wray game is not factored in.