Class 1A Boys Basketball Breakdown

Boys Basketball Class 1A Regional Projections & Bubble Watch Week 11

Boys Basketball Class 1A Regional Projections & Bubble Watch Week 11

Remember to qualify for Regionals you must be ranked inside the top 32 or win your League (If you have 5 or more teams).  This week we breakdown the race to host plus the teams sitting on the bubble.  We will do this for every class.  At the end I pick the 8 teams I think make it to state based on my projections At the end I pick the 8 teams I think make it to state based on my projections.

Updated 2/25 3pm (When I pulled the Seeding Index)

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Class 1A

  • League Champions earn an automatic berth in the playoffs as long as they win their league outright.  Each league must have a minimum of 5 teams in it for an automatic berth. 
  • Seeding Criteria for the 32-team state bracket-CHSAA Seeding & Selection Index published after the regular season.  Seeds 9-16 are true seeded except to try and avoid league matchups in the First Round Only.  Teams may be moved one spot up or down.  Seeds 17-32 may be moved up to two spots based upon geography & League matchups. 
  • First Two Rounds of the state tournament (Regionals) will be hosted by the top seed in that quadrant of the bracket, over two days. (4-teams total).
  • Top 8 teams will advance through the bracket.  The bracket Will Not be reseeded before State.  Class 1A Great 8 will play a full consolation bracket.

League Champion Predictions

3A/2A/1A San Juan League: Nucla

3A/2A/1A Mile High League: 2A Team (Heritage Christian)

2A/1A Western Slope League: 2A Team Wins (Vail Christian)

2A/1A West Central: Cotopaxi (Will not get an automatic berth)

2A/1A Union Pacific League: Limon

1A YWKC League: Otis

1A Southern Peaks: Sierra Grande

1A North Central: Prairie

2A/1A Lower Platte: 2A Team Wins (Merino)

1A High Plains: McClave

1A Fisher Peaks: Primero (Will not get an automatic berth)

1A Black Forrest: Elbert

1A Ark Valley: Kim/Branson

5280 League: Denver Waldorf

Top 8 Seeds (Regional Hosts)

#1 McClave

#2 Nucla

#3 Cheyenne Wells

#4 Flatirons Academy

#5 Stratton

#6 Denver Waldorf

#7 Prairie

#8 Elbert

Class 1A Boys looks to be all but settled for the top 8 seeds.  Sierra Grande could be the only team to make a run for the top 8 with possibly games against Sangre De Cristo and Sanford if they can win both they could jump into the top 8. 

First Four Out

Hanover (33), Cotopaxi (34), Flagler (35), Primero (36)

The top 32 teams are nearly all but locked up.  #32 Arickaree sits at .461 and #33 Hanover is at .439.  Making up .022 is not impossible but Hanover would need to upset Kit Carson in there final game of the season.  Arickaree should get in as long as they avoid a bad loss in there final two tournament games.

Bracket- League matchups will be avoided in the first round only.  8 Regional winners qualifying for state.  State will not be re-seeded! And play a consolation bracket!

Region 1
*#1 McClave vs #32 Arickaree
#16 Granada vs #17 Evangel Christian
Region 2
*#8 Elbert vs #25 Denver Academy of Torah
#9 Sierra Grande vs #24 Caliche
Region 3
*#5 Stratton vs #28 Front Range Baptist
#12 Sangre De Cristo vs #21 Kim/Branson
Region 4
*#4 Flatirons Academy vs #29 Mile High Academy
#13 Peetz vs #20 Holly
Region 5
*#2 Nucla vs #31 Centennail
#15 De Beque vs #18 Ouray
Region 6
*#7 Prairie vs #26 Rocky Mountain Lutheran
#10 Denver Jewish Day vs #23 Idalia
Region 7
*#6 Denver Waldorf vs #27 Kit Carson
#11 Otis vs #22 Cheraw
Region 8
*#3 Cheyenne Wells vs #30 Springfield
#14 Wiley vs #19 Pikes Peak Christian

*= Regional Host

Note: You can move teams for geography considerations & to avoid league/district matchups in the first round!  Remember 17-32 can be moved 2 spots at max. 

My State Qualifier Picks

Here are the 8 teams I think will make it to the Elite 8 based off the projections on 2/25.

#1 McClave

#8 Elbert

#5 Stratton

#4 Flatirons Academy

#2 Nucla

#7 Prairie

#11 Otis

#3 Cheyenne Wells

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